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Scorecard

How every one of our models has done against the books. Yes, we show the losing ones too. Every record here updates itself each morning after the night's results come in.

NFL · 2026 season · week 9

Every NFL game this season, for each of our models: did the team it favored win, and did the side its spread liked cover the closing spread.

Straight up · this weekStraight up · seasonAgainst the spread · this weekAgainst the spread · season
QB-adjusted0–040–3156%0–036–32–353%
Basic0–042–2959%0–037–30–355%
Long memorysince Oct 150–026–1662%0–020–21–149%
Sim1–0100%46–2763%0–10%43–28–361%
The bet——0–10%−1.0u25–20–256%+2.7u

Props leans vs the line

Every prop where our projection was over or under the posted line, graded on the result, this season.

RecordWin %Graded
NFL1292–105955%2351
NBA1211–106053%2271

Spread records are graded at the closing line: the last price before the game started. Prop leans are graded against the line posted when we made the projection, and first basket at the best US price. Pushes count as neither a win nor a loss. A record is not a pick: it grades what we published, after the games. Each season counts only predictions saved before the game; a model marked “since” started grading mid-season. Last graded Sat, 6:23 AM EST.

Every published pick, one by one →